Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
5 - 0
Radcliffe

Carr (25', 77'), Hall (45+1'), Senior (53'), Ellis (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Radcliffe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 1-0 Chorley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Radcliffe

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-2 Radcliffe
Tuesday, April 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Radcliffe had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Radcliffe win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawRadcliffe
51.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.68% (0.018999999999998 0.02)23.92% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)50.33% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)19.57% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)51.49% (0.061 0.06)
Radcliffe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29% (0.049999999999997 0.05)35.71% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (0.050999999999998 0.05)72.49% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 51.4%
    Radcliffe 23.92%
    Draw 24.67%
ChorleyDrawRadcliffe
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.67%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 23.92%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Radcliffe
2-0
Chorley
Smith (50'), Hulme (89')