National League North | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 0
Chorley

Kirby (20')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-3 Buxton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Chorley
39.71% ( 0.14)	27.53% ( -0.17)	32.76% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.19% (

0.63)

56.8% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26% (

0.5)

77.74% (

-0.5)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

0.38)

27.95% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42% (

0.48)

63.57% (

-0.47)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.74% (

0.34)

32.26% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.24% (

0.38)

68.75% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Buxton 39.71%

Chorley 32.75%

Draw 27.53%

Buxton	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.71%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.75%