National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Connor Kirby 20' goal

Buxton vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 0 - 3 Buxton
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Luke Brennan

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Chorley 0 - 0 Marine AFC
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Mark Ellis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.

Result

Buxton 39.71% (+0.15)
Draw 27.53% (-0.17)
Chorley 32.76% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.81% (+0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.19% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 56.8% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 22.26% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 77.74% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 9.66% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 90.33% (-0.30)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 72.05% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 27.95% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 36.42% (+0.48)
Under 1.5 63.57% (-0.48)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 67.74% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 32.26% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 31.24% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 68.75% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Buxton 39.71%
Draw 27.53%
Chorley 32.75%
Buxton
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 8.29% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.52% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.11% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 39.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.53%
Chorley
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 7.36% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.77% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.18% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mark Ellis 34' goal
  • True Grant 67' goal
  • Mike Calveley 85' goal
National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Silverlands
  • Diego De Girolamo 36' goal
  • Luke Shiels 56' goal
  • Max Hunt 73' goal
  • goal Scott Wilson 73'
National League North Gameweek 22
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Mike Calveley 28' goal
  • Jack Sampson 45' redcard
  • Carlton Ubaezuonu 63' goal
  • Mark Ellis 81' goal
  • goal Diego De Girolamo 18'
  • redcard Will Bapaga 45'
  • goal Jake Wright 74'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Connor Hall 70' goal
  • Connor Hall 80' goal
  • goal Declan Poole 45'+3'
  • goal Warren Clarke 72'
National League North Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Silverlands
  • Bradley Jackson 49' goal
  • James Simms 90'+7' goal
  • goal Harvey Smith 30'
  • goal Connor Hall 61'