National League North | Gameweek 39

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Brackley Town
0 - 1
Buxton

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ogwuru (25')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions

Last Game: King's Lynn 0-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Buxton 1-0 Spennymoor
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Brackley Town	Draw	Buxton
55.63% ( -0.14)	24.36% ( 0.11)	20.01% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.87% (

-0.4)

53.13% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.29% (

-0.34)

74.7% (

0.34)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.21)

18.99% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-0.34)

50.54% (

0.34)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.84% (

-0.2)

41.15% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.31% (

-0.18)

77.69% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Brackley Town 55.63%

Buxton 20.01%

Draw 24.35%

Brackley Town	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 55.63%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.01%