Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.