National League North | Gameweek 45

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
5 - 1
Hereford

Worrall (2'), Morgan-Smith (18', 90+8'), Kouhyar (49', 58')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sterling-James (36')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-2 Kidderminster
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 3-0 Leamington
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Hereford United
52.3% ( -0.03)	26.72% ( 0.01)	20.97% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.66% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.56% (

-0.01)

60.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.42% (

-0.01)

80.57% (

0.01)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67% (

-0.02)

23.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71% (

-0.03)

57.28% (

0.03)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.64% (

0.02)

44.35% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.59% (

0.02)

80.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 52.3%

Hereford United 20.97%

Draw 26.72%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 15.06% 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 52.3%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.97%