National League North | Gameweek 43

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
1 - 2
Hereford

Carbon (14', 14')
(40'), (60'), (65'), (67'), (89'), (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Ceesay (21', 21'), Campbell (61', 61')
(2'), (55'), (79')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Oxford City and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Southport 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Hereford United

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Chester
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Hereford United
27.65% ( -0.01)	25.18% ( -0)	47.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.54% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.45% (

0.01)

49.55% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.42% (

0.01)

71.58% (

-0.01)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0)

32.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3%

68.69% (

-0)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

0.01)

21.03% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.18% (

0.01)

53.82% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 27.65%

Hereford United 47.16%

Draw 25.18%

Oxford City	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.65%	1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.16%