Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 72.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 0-3 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.