National League North | Gameweek 42
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
2 - 2
Oxford City

Lloyd (60'), Russ (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jones (55'), Carbon (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Southport
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-3 Oxford City
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Southport has a probability of 28.6% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Southport win is 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
SouthportDrawOxford City
28.6% (0.159 0.16)26.81% (-0.26 -0.26)44.6% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.21% (0.846 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53% (1.044 1.04)55.47% (-1.041 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (0.848 0.85)76.66% (-0.845 -0.84)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4% (0.68100000000001 0.68)34.6% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.715 0.72)71.32% (-0.711 -0.71)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (0.52 0.52)24.76% (-0.516 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (0.718 0.72)59.32% (-0.714 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Southport 28.6%
    Oxford City 44.59%
    Draw 26.81%
SouthportDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 11.95% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 44.59%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Oxford City
1-1
Southport
Roddy (49')
Carbon (32'), Scott (82')
Philliskirk (62')
Lloyd (55'), Knight-Percival (87'), Moore (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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