Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Girona in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
46.62% ( 0.06) | 23.47% ( -0.11) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.45% ( 0.54) | 40.55% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.07% ( 0.56) | 62.93% ( -0.56) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( 0.23) | 17.67% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.7% ( 0.41) | 48.29% ( -0.41) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( 0.3) | 26.01% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( 0.41) | 61.03% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |