Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta1 - 1Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 8-0 Dumiense
Sunday, November 26 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, November 26 at 6pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Atalanta BC 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
A point will be enough for Sporting to qualify and for Atalanta to win the group, so a stalemate is likely for two sides who have little to separate themselves. While Sporting will still hold slim hopes of leapfrogging Atalanta at the top of the group, losing at home to La Dea on matchday two suggests that it will be a difficult ask to beat them to turn the head-to-head in their favour here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
36.03% ( 0.23) | 24.42% ( -0.01) | 39.55% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.01% ( 0.09) | 42.99% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( 0.09) | 65.39% ( -0.09) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% ( 0.16) | 23.57% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.37% ( 0.24) | 57.63% ( -0.24) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( -0.07) | 21.76% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( -0.1) | 54.95% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 36.03%
Sporting Lisbon 39.55%
Draw 24.41%
Atalanta BC | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.03% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.55% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon
Atalanta BC
57.7%Draw
21.6%Sporting Lisbon
20.6%97
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 12:55:36
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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