Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 10
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ahli3 - 1Al Wahda
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Wahda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, October 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Saturday, October 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Wahda |
58.5% ( 0.35) | 23.13% ( -0.13) | 18.37% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.6% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.51% ( 0.2) | 50.49% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.58% ( 0.18) | 72.42% ( -0.17) |
Al-Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( 0.2) | 16.97% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.93% ( 0.35) | 47.07% ( -0.34) |
Al Wahda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.54% ( -0.13) | 41.46% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.03% ( -0.12) | 77.97% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Ahli 58.49%
Al Wahda 18.37%
Draw 23.13%
Al-Ahli | Draw | Al Wahda |
1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 58.49% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.37% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-07 00:14:34
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Al-HilalAl-Hilal | 30 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 91 | 19 | 72 | 86 |
2 | Al-Nassr | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 35 | 55 | 74 |
3 | Al-AhliAl-Ahli | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 55 |
4 | Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 |
5 | Al Ittihad | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 43 | 13 | 50 |
6 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 41 |
7 | Al Fateh | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 41 |
9 | Al Fayha | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 41 |
10 | Damac | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Al Khaleej | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 36 |
12 | Al WahdaAl Wahda | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 32 |
13 | Al RaedAl Raed | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 31 |
14 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 29 |
15 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Abha | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 79 | -45 | 28 |
17 | Al Tai | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 27 |
18 | Al Hazem | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 68 | -39 | 20 |
> Saudi Pro League Full Table |
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