MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 14:43:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Ittihad

Albirakan (34')
Al-Asmari (6'), Majrashi (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Amri (79'), Al-Sagour (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Fayha
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 1-1 Al Ittihad

 There is little to pick between the sides heading into Monday's contest, which could easily head either way. We can see both teams matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
44.02% (0.503 0.5) 25.25% (-0.134 -0.13) 30.73% (-0.368 -0.37)
Both teams to score 55.24% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (0.433 0.43)48.2% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (0.397 0.4)70.35% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.41800000000001 0.42)21.88% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.631 0.63)55.13% (-0.629 -0.63)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)29.29% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)65.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 44.02%
    Al Ittihad 30.73%
    Draw 25.24%
Al-AhliDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Ittihad

Al-Ahli
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Al Ittihad
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Al Ittihad
0-1
Al-Ahli

Fabinho (35'), Coronado (75')
Kessie (31')
Jaissle (36'), Mendy (61'), Mahrez (70'), Veiga (86'), Aljohani (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal28262086186880
2Al-Nassr29232484354971
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli28157654302452
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29149648311751
5Al Ittihad29155955401550
6Al Ettifaq29101183530541
7Al Fateh29117114844440
8Damac29108114035538
9Al ShababAl Shabab29108113936338
10Al Fayha29108113846-838
11Al Khaleej2998123240-835
12Al WahdaAl Wahda2995154149-832
13Al RaedAl Raed2987143845-731
14Al Riyadh2977152651-2528
15Al Okhdood2983182747-2027
16Al Tai2975172957-2826
17Abha2974183178-4725
18Al Hazem29310162968-3919
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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