J1 League | Gameweek 19
May 31, 2025 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
3 - 0
FC Tokyo

Kawasaki (32'), Takeda (70'), Okugawa (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Higashi (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and FC Tokyo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, May 25 at 7am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-3 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 25 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawFC Tokyo
38.44% (-0.26 -0.26)26.35% (0.062000000000001 0.06)35.21% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.24 -0.24)51.75% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.209 -0.21)73.52% (0.205 0.2)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.25500000000001 -0.26)26.28% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (-0.34 -0.34)61.4% (0.337 0.34)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.84% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 38.44%
    FC Tokyo 35.21%
    Draw 26.35%
Kyoto SangaDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 38.44%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.089 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.21%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 11am
Gameweek 28
Kyoto Sanga
3-0
FC Tokyo
Elias (3'), Hara (36'), Hirato (50')
Fukuda (17'), Hara (39'), Yonemoto (54'), Kawasaki (90+3')
Aug 24, 2024 11am
Gameweek 28
Kyoto Sanga
3-0
FC Tokyo
Elias (3'), Hara (36'), Hirato (50')
Fukuda (17'), Hara (39'), Yonemoto (54'), Kawasaki (90+3')
May 3, 2024 7am
Gameweek 11
FC Tokyo
2-1
Kyoto Sanga
Bangunagande (4'), Oliveira (21')
Koizumi (19'), Oka (90+9')
Hiraga (79')
Toyokawa (9'), Sato (56'), Hirato (63')
Aug 12, 2023 11am
Gameweek 23
FC Tokyo
2-0
Kyoto Sanga
Watanabe (36'), Higashi (58')
Trevisan (25')

Kaneko (45+2')
Mar 4, 2023 5am
Gameweek 3
Kyoto Sanga
2-0
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki (75'), Patric (90+1' pen.)