J1 League | Gameweek 18
May 25, 2025 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
1 - 0
Kyoto Sanga

Arai (90+4', 90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Takeda (19'), Takeda (19'), Sato (35'), Sato (35')
Hirato (67'), Hirato (67')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, May 17 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-3 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, May 17 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawKyoto Sanga
32.85% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)26.92% (0.010000000000002 0.01)40.24% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.69% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)54.43% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)75.8% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)30.99% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.07 -0.07)67.3% (0.068000000000012 0.07)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)26.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.74%
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 32.85%
    Kyoto Sanga 40.24%
    Draw 26.92%
Tokyo VerdyDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 9.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.91% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.24%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 5am
Gameweek 38
Kyoto Sanga
0-0
Tokyo Verdy
Fukuda (83')
Miyahara (9'), Tsunashima (44')
Mar 29, 2024 10am
Gameweek 5
Tokyo Verdy
2-2
Kyoto Sanga
Someno (80' pen., 90+3')
Someno (69'), Morita (88')
Toyokawa (22'), Hara (26')
Matsuda (27'), Fukuda (49'), Sato (62')
rhs 2.0


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