J1 League | Gameweek 16

May 11, 2025 at 6am UK

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
1 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Nagasawa (70', 70')
Takeda (38'), Takeda (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Inagaki (84', 84')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, May 7 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Okayama
Tuesday, May 6 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
37.68% ( 0.21)	27.05% ( -0.06)	35.27% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 50.7% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.38% (

0.25)

54.62% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.04% (

0.21)

75.95% (

-0.2)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

0.25)

28.07% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27% (

0.31)

63.73% (

-0.3)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

0.03)

29.52% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

0.04)

65.54% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 37.67%

Nagoya Grampus 35.26%

Draw 27.05%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.67%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.26%