J1 League Gameweek 17
May 17, 2025 6.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Valere Germain 87' goal
  • Valere Germain 87' goal
  • Hayao Kawabe 89' goal
  • Hayao Kawabe 89' goal
  • yellowcard Yuan Matsuhashi 63'
  • yellowcard Yuan Matsuhashi 63'
  • goal Yudai Kimura 77'
  • goal Yudai Kimura 77'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 7.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Hiroshima
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Hayato Araki

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 7.00am
Tokyo Verdy 0 - 2 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Yuto Tsunashima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.24% (+0.03)
Draw 24.17% (+0.02)
Tokyo Verdy 16.59% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.58% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.17% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 56.83% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 22.24% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 77.76% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 9.65% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 90.34% (+0.06)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 80.97% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 19.03% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 49.4% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 50.6% (+0.06)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5 52.58% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 47.42% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 17.2% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 82.8% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.24%
Draw 24.17%
Tokyo Verdy 16.59%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 14.97% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 12.42% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 59.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 9.02% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.17%
Tokyo Verdy
0-1 @ 6.73% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.59%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • goal Sho Sasaki 78'
  • yellowcard Douglas Vieira 89'
J1 League Gameweek 18
Jun 15, 2024 10.30am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Mutsuki Kato 2' goal
  • Sho Sasaki 32' yellowcard
  • Shuto Nakano 34' yellowcard
  • Pieros Soteriou 47' goal
  • Pieros Soteriou 62' goal
  • Douglas Vieira 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tomoya Miki 22'
  • yellowcard Goki Yamada 45'+1'
  • goal Yudai Kimura 90'+4'