J1 League | Gameweek 17

May 17, 2025 at 6am UK

EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 1
Tokyo Verdy

Germain (87', 87'), Kawabe (89', 89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kimura (77' pen., 77' pen.)
Matsuhashi (63'), Matsuhashi (63')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
59.24% ( 0.02)	24.17% ( 0.02)	16.59% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.58% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.17% (

-0.11)

56.83% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.24% (

-0.09)

77.76% (

0.09)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

-0.03)

19.03% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

-0.06)

50.6% (

0.06)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.58% (

-0.12)

47.42% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.2% (

-0.09)

82.8% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.24%

Tokyo Verdy 16.59%

Draw 24.17%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 59.24%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.59%