J1 League Gameweek 16
May 11, 2025 7.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Suita City Football Stadium
  • Tokuma Suzuki 22' redcard
  • Tokuma Suzuki 22' redcard
  • goal Tsukasa Shiotani 33'
  • goal Tsukasa Shiotani 33'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Shiotani 57'
  • yellowcard Tsukasa Shiotani 57'

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
May 6, 2025 6.00am
Urawa 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Issam Jebali

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2025 11.00am
Shonan Bellmare 0 - 1 Hiroshima
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Hayato Araki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 27.8% (+0.07)
Draw 24.92% (+0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.28% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 48.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.51% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.49% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.33% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.66% (+0.01)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 68.54% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.46% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.16% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 67.84% (-0.06)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 79.51% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.49% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 47.02% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 52.98% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 27.81%
Draw 24.91%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.27%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 7.46% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.83% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.31% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.91%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.1% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.28% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.27%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 5.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Isa Sakamoto 13' goal
  • Isa Sakamoto 13' goal
  • Welton Felipe 42' yellowcard
  • Welton Felipe 42' yellowcard
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 81' goal
  • Shinnosuke Nakatani 81' goal
  • Juan Alano 87' yellowcard
  • Juan Alano 87' yellowcard
  • Isa Sakamoto 89' goal
  • Isa Sakamoto 89' goal
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 90'+3'
  • goal Mutsuki Kato 90'+3'
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 4.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Naoto Arai 78' goal
  • Naoto Arai 78' goal
  • goal Welton Felipe 76'
  • goal Welton Felipe 76'
J1 League Gameweek 33
Nov 25, 2023 5.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • Makoto Mitsuta 9' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 11' goal
  • Mutsuki Kato 53' goal
  • yellowcard Kwon Kyung-won 22'
  • yellowcard Keisuke Kurokawa 38'
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Takashi Usami 70' goal
  • goal Nassim Ben Khalifa 2'
  • goal Makoto Mitsuta 90'+4'
J1 League Gameweek 26
Aug 20, 2022 11.00am
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Nassim Ben Khalifa 11' goal
  • Nassim Ben Khalifa 72' goal
  • Nassim Ben Khalifa 76' goal
  • Makoto Mitsuta 82' goal
  • Taishi Matsumoto 88' goal
  • goal Leandro Pereira 2'
  • goal Mitsuki Saito 36'
  • yellowcard Masaaki Higashiguchi 48'
J1 League Gameweek 15
Jun 29, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Keisuke Kurokawa 36' goal
  • Isa Sakamoto 39' goal
  • Kosuke Onose 78' yellowcard
  • Shu Kurata 90'+3' yellowcard