J1 League | Gameweek 16

May 11, 2025 at 7am UK

Suita City Football Stadium

Gamba Osaka
0 - 1
Hiroshima

FT(HT: 0-2)

Shiotani (33', 33')
Shiotani (57'), Shiotani (57')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, May 7 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
27.8% ( 0.07)	24.92% ( 0.01)	47.28% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.65% (

-0.01)

48.35% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.51% (

-0)

70.49% (

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.54% (

0.05)

31.46% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.16% (

0.06)

67.84% (

-0.06)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0.03)

20.49% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.02% (

-0.06)

52.98% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 27.81%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.27%

Draw 24.91%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.81%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.27%