Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.