J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 10, 2025 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Vissel Kobe

Ryan (90+13' pen., 90+13' pen.)
Trevisan (7'), Trevisan (7'), Ryan (90+6'), Ryan (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sakai (37'), Sakai (37'), Honda (90+12'), Honda (90+12')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Vissel Kobe

All competitions
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Cerezo
Tuesday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
25.33% (0.025000000000002 0.03)26.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)47.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.18% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.83% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)78.55% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (0.042999999999999 0.04)38.6% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (0.041 0.04)75.34% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.28% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)58.65% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 25.33%
    Vissel Kobe 47.72%
    Draw 26.94%
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 13.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.72%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 11am
Gameweek 34
Vissel Kobe
0-2
FC Tokyo

Ideguchi (5')
Endo (24'), Anzai (54')
Oliveira (7'), Anzai (17')
Mar 9, 2024 7am
Gameweek 3
FC Tokyo
1-2
Vissel Kobe
Koizumi (50')
Morishige (7')
Trevisan (70')
Miyashiro (57'), Osako (74')
Thuler (89')
Aug 26, 2023 11am
Gameweek 25
FC Tokyo
2-2
Vissel Kobe
Oliveira (18'), Adailton (90+10')
Matsuki (79'), Nagatomo (82'), Brandon Nozawa (90+2')
Osako (90+3' pen.), Yamaguchi (90+14')
Ohgihara (59')
May 27, 2023 6am
Gameweek 15
Vissel Kobe
3-2
FC Tokyo
Muto (20', 44'), Osako (41')
Osako (55'), Patric (88')
Oliveira (59' pen.), Perotti (85' pen.)
Morishige (63')
Sep 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 26
Vissel Kobe
2-1
FC Tokyo
Yamaguchi (11'), Kikuchi (25')
Leandro (90')