J1 League | Gameweek 18
May 25, 2025 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
0 - 3
Hiroshima


Koizumi (85'), Koizumi (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Araki (8', 8', 49', 49'), Germain (59', 59'), Kawabe (88', 88')
Shiotani (23'), Shiotani (23')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, May 17 at 8am in J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, May 17 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.65%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
17.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)23.9%58.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 45.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79%44.21% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.7%80.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 17.87%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58.22%
    Draw 23.9%
FC TokyoDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.59%
2-0 @ 2.71%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.87%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 13.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.65%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-3 @ 6.58%
1-3 @ 5.37%
0-4 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-5 @ 0.94%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 58.22%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Hiroshima
3-2
FC Tokyo
Arslan (5', 32', 63' pen.)
Kawabe (29'), Vieira (90+6')
Ogashiwa (79'), Nakano (90+1' og.)
Mar 2, 2024 6am
Gameweek 2
FC Tokyo
1-1
Hiroshima
Araki (71')
Endo (18')
Ohashi (69' pen.)
Araki (87')
Oct 28, 2023 7am
Gameweek 31
FC Tokyo
1-2
Hiroshima
Araki (62' og.)
Trevisan (37'), Koizumi (57')
Nakagawa (90+4')
Kato (48'), Mitsuta (75')
Higashi (42'), Vieira (58'), Ben Khalifa (90')
Apr 22, 2023 6am
Gameweek 9
Hiroshima
1-2
FC Tokyo
Morishima (38')
Nakamura (5'), Abe (28')
Jul 30, 2022 11am
Gameweek 23
Hiroshima
1-2
FC Tokyo
Morishima (40')
Oliveira (67'), Adailton (90+3')