Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.65%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FC Tokyo win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.