Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadio Panetolikou
AEK Athens

Panetolikos
0 - 2
AEK Athens

FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (48'), Moukoudi (75')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Panetolikos and AEK Athens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panetolikos

Last Six:
Last Game: OFI Crete 1-2 Panetolikos
Saturday, September 10 at 4.30pm in Greek Superleague

AEK Athens

Last Six:
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 AEK Athens
Sunday, September 11 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
PanetolikosDrawAEK Athens
24.25% (-0.411 -0.41)26.97% (0.461 0.46)48.78% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.5% (-1.623 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (-1.912 -1.91)58.62% (1.912 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.82% (-1.512 -1.51)79.18% (1.513 1.51)
Panetolikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-1.448 -1.45)40.02% (1.449 1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-1.352 -1.35)76.67% (1.355 1.36)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.854 -0.85)24.14% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-1.227 -1.23)58.45% (1.228 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Panetolikos 24.25%
    AEK Athens 48.78%
    Draw 26.97%
PanetolikosDrawAEK Athens
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.291 0.29)
2-1 @ 5.76% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 24.25%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.679 0.68)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 13.73% (0.65 0.65)
0-2 @ 9.76% (0.221 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 48.78%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 3.15pm
AEK Athens
1-2
Panetolikos
Ansarifard (44')
Simoes (56')
Karelis (79'), Mendoza (84')
Mendoza (85')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Panetolikos
1-3
AEK Athens
Vergos (58')
Mendoza (26'), Cornelius (50')
Garcia (13'), Vranjes (26'), Zuber (83')
Simoes (38'), Le Tallec (56')
Jan 6, 2021 3.15pm
AEK Athens
1-0
Panetolikos
Galanopoulos (41')
Shakhov (36'), Insua (86')

Malis (39'), Liavas (43'), Medina (89')
Sep 19, 2020 6.30pm
Panetolikos
0-2
AEK Athens

Karasalidis (21')
Livaja (68'), Mantalos (87')
Hnid (15'), Svarnas (20'), Oliveira (38'), Livaja (40'), Paulinho (49'), Chygrynskiy (74')
Jan 5, 2020 1pm
AEK Athens
3-1
Panetolikos
Livaja (29' pen., 56'), Verde (82' pen.)
Sabanadzovic (40'), Deletic (41'), Krsticic (68'), Oikonomou (71')
Diaz (42')
Tahar (29'), Knett (57'), Kevin (66'), Duarte (69')