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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Westwood Road

St Ives Town
5 - 2
Harpenden Town

Abimbola (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between St Ives Town and Harpenden Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Ives Town

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Last Game: Harpenden Town 0-0 St Ives Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Harpenden Town

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Last Game: Harpenden Town 0-0 St Ives Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Ives Town win with a probability of 72.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Harpenden Town had a probability of 12.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Ives Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a Harpenden Town win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Ives Town would win this match.

Result
St Ives TownDrawHarpenden Town
72.06%15.25%12.68%
Both teams to score 63.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.97%25.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.04%44.95%
St Ives Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.87%6.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.75%23.24%
Harpenden Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58%32.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.93%
Score Analysis
    St Ives Town 72.06%
    Harpenden Town 12.69%
    Draw 15.25%
St Ives TownDrawHarpenden Town
2-1 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 8.12%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-0 @ 7.21%
4-1 @ 5.67%
1-0 @ 5.55%
4-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 4.57%
4-2 @ 3.19%
5-1 @ 3.17%
5-0 @ 2.81%
5-2 @ 1.78%
6-1 @ 1.47%
6-0 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 72.06%
1-1 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.91%
0-0 @ 1.99%
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.25%
1-2 @ 3.52%
0-1 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-3 @ 1.32%
0-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 12.69%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Harpenden Town
0-0
St Ives Town