Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harpenden Town win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Halstead Town had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harpenden Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.8%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Halstead Town win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harpenden Town would win this match.