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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lyme Valley Stadium

Newcastle Town
2 - 1
Long Eaton United FC

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Newcastle Town and Long Eaton United FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Town

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Last Game: Newcastle Town 2-0 Westfields
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Long Eaton United FC

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Last Game: Long Eaton United FC 3-2 Boston Town FC
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Long Eaton United FC win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 38.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Long Eaton United FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.31%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle TownDrawLong Eaton United FC
38.37% (-0.012 -0.01)23.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)38.39% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 64.46% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.01% (0.012 0.01)36.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.82% (0.014000000000003 0.01)59.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Newcastle Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28%19.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.72% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Long Eaton United FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.7% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (0.018999999999998 0.02)51.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Town 38.37%
    Long Eaton United FC 38.39%
    Draw 23.23%
Newcastle TownDrawLong Eaton United FC
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 6.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 38.37%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.23%
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 38.39%

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