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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Leylands Park

Burgess Hill Town
2 - 1
AFC Croydon Athletic

Cooper (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Burgess Hill Town and AFC Croydon Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgess Hill Town

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Last Game: Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Eastbourne Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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AFC Croydon Athletic

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Last Game: AFC Croydon Athletic 4-0 VCD Athletic
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgess Hill Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for AFC Croydon Athletic had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgess Hill Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.56%) and 3-1 (5.07%). The likeliest AFC Croydon Athletic win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burgess Hill Town in this match.

Result
Burgess Hill TownDrawAFC Croydon Athletic
41.61%22.3%36.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 67.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.59%32.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.95% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Burgess Hill Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)46.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
AFC Croydon Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)18.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burgess Hill Town 41.61%
    AFC Croydon Athletic 36.1%
    Draw 22.3%
Burgess Hill TownDrawAFC Croydon Athletic
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 7.04%
0-0 @ 3.07%
3-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.3%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.82%
2-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.01%
3-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.1%