FA Cup
Aug 3, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Keith Tuckey Stadium

AFC Croydon Athletic vs Guildford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Croydon Athletic

Guildford City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Croydon Athletic win with a probability of 71.31%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Guildford City had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Croydon Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Guildford City win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Croydon Athletic would win this match.

Result

AFC Croydon Athletic 71.31% (-0.57)
Draw 15.27% (+0.30)
Guildford City 13.42% (+0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.82% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.79% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 23.2% (+0.87)
Over 3.5 57.47% (-1.19)
Under 3.5 42.53% (+1.18)
Over 4.5 37.93% (-1.21)
Under 4.5 62.06% (+1.20)

AFC Croydon Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 94.16% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 5.84% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 77.58% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 22.42% (+0.83)

Guildford City Goals

Over 0.5 69.9% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 30.09% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 33.77% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 66.23% (+0.39)

Score analysis

AFC Croydon Athletic 71.31%
Draw 15.27%
Guildford City 13.42%
AFC Croydon Athletic
2-1 @ 8.51% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 8.06% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 6.71% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 5.73% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 4.99% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 4.84% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.77% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 3.44% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 3.25% (-0.13)
5-0 @ 2.71% (-0.08)
5-2 @ 1.95% (-0.09)
6-1 @ 1.54% (-0.09)
4-3 @ 1.38% (-0.06)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 71.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.99% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 1.76% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 15.27%
Guildford City
1-2 @ 3.6% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 2.11% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.27% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 13.42%

Form Data