Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Grbavica

Zeljeznicar
2 - 2
Dinamo Minsk

Haracic (85', 90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakhar (41'), Morozov (50')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Zeljeznicar and Dinamo Minsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 3-1 Zeljeznicar
Wednesday, September 9 at 6pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Torpedo-BelAZ 0-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 6 at 4.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Zeljeznicar had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Zeljeznicar win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ZeljeznicarDrawDinamo Minsk
27.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.02% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)45.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (0.047999999999995 0.05)56.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.13% (0.038 0.04)77.86% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Zeljeznicar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.024999999999999 0.02)36.51% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.7% (0.026 0.03)73.29% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.57% (0.040000000000006 0.04)59.42% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Zeljeznicar 27.2%
    Dinamo Minsk 45.77%
    Draw 27.01%
ZeljeznicarDrawDinamo Minsk
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.77%