Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Zeljeznicar had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Zeljeznicar win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.