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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
Azarsun Arena

Dinamo Minsk
1 - 2
Zeljeznicar

Sedko (63' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sachivko (44' og.), Krpic (78')
Rustemovic (18'), Drina (30'), Amoah (41'), Mulalic (62'), Kosoric (84')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Dinamo Minsk and Zeljeznicar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Minsk

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zeljeznicar 2-2 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 13 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Zeljeznicar

All competitions
Last Game: Zeljeznicar 2-2 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 13 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Zeljeznicar had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Zeljeznicar win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo MinskDrawZeljeznicar
58.28% (0.3 0.3)22.85% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)18.87% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.32% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.103 0.1)48.64% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (0.093 0.09)70.76% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (0.139 0.14)16.39% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (0.252 0.25)46.03% (-0.254 -0.25)
Zeljeznicar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19% (-0.174 -0.17)39.81% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.53% (-0.158 -0.16)76.47% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Minsk 58.26%
    Zeljeznicar 18.87%
    Draw 22.84%
Dinamo MinskDrawZeljeznicar
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-0 @ 10.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.43% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 58.26%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.87%

How you voted: Dinamo Minsk vs Zeljeznicar

Dinamo Minsk
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Zeljeznicar
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 7.30pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Zeljeznicar
2-2
Dinamo Minsk
Haracic (85', 90+1')
Amoah (34'), Drina (83')
Bakhar (41'), Morozov (50')
Shvyatsow (39'), Bykov (50')