Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.67%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.