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UEFA Conference League

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion Stozice

Ljubljana
5 - 0
Rijeka

Lucas (2', 47'), Charles (13', 45'), Kojic (35')
Charles (10'), Florucz (54')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Jankovic (8'), Radeljic (38'), Petrovic (52')
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and HNK Rijeka.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maribor 1-1 Ljubljana
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osijek 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawHNK Rijeka
49.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)25.23% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)25.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)51.42% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.012 0.01)73.24% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.12% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.87% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 49.48%
    HNK Rijeka 25.28%
    Draw 25.23%
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawHNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.28%

How you voted: Ljubljana vs Rijeka

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
HNK Rijeka
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 7pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Rijeka
1-1
Ljubljana
Ivanovic (33')
Majstorovic (76'), Pasalic (78'), Zlomislic (83'), Fruk (83')
Lucas (76' pen.)
Doffo (35'), Ratnik (49'), Sualehe (75'), Charles (78')