UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stadion Stozice

Ljubljana
3 - 0
Sheriff Tiraspol

(NK Olimpija Ljubljana win 4-0 on aggregate)

Lucas (45+4' pen.), Doffo (66'), Sualehe (84')
Ratnik (14')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lins (45+2')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Sheriff Tiraspol.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Ljubljana 2-0 Nafta
Monday, August 5 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Sheriff Tiraspol

All competitions

Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bravo	6	2.00	Pecar
2	Maribor	5	2.50	Jakupovic
3	Ljubljana	5	1.67	Durdov
4	NS Mura	4	1.33	Marosa
5	Koper	3	1.00	Curcio
6	Celje	2	1.00	Jaksic
7	Domzale	2	0.67	Krstovski
8	Nafta	2	0.67	Klausz
9	Radomlje	2	0.67	Kukovec
10	Primorje	0	0.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Olimpija Ljubljana would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
55.24% ( 0.02)	23.09% ( -0.01)	21.67% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.97% (

0.01)

46.02% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

0.01)

68.33% (

-0.01)

NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48% (

0.01)

16.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73% (

0.02)

46.27% (

-0.02)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

-0.01)

35.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

-0.01)

72.17% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

NK Olimpija Ljubljana 55.24%

Sheriff Tiraspol 21.67%

Draw 23.09%

NK Olimpija Ljubljana	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.24%	1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.67%