Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
54.74% ( 0.02)	23.69% ( -0)	21.56% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.31% (

-0.01)

48.69% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.2% (

-0.01)

70.8% (

0.01)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

0.01)

17.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.71% (

0.01)

48.29% (

-0)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-0.02)

37.01% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-0.02)

73.8% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 54.74%

Vancouver Whitecaps 21.56%

Draw 23.69%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.57% Total : 54.74%	1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.56%