Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 12, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca
Club Leon

Cruz Azul
2 - 1
Club Leon

Rivero (33', 33'), Echeverria (66' og., 66' og.)
Orozco (46'), Orozco (46')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Cadiz (39', 39')
Barreiro (53'), Barreiro (53')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-3 Cruz Azul
Friday, May 9 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 2-3 Cruz Azul
Friday, May 9 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawClub Leon
64.32% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)19.85% (0.176 0.18)15.82% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.96% (-0.58 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.3% (-0.785 -0.79)40.69% (0.785 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92% (-0.808 -0.81)63.08% (0.808 0.81)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.04% (-0.286 -0.29)11.95% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.66% (-0.611 -0.61)37.34% (0.612 0.61)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (-0.457 -0.46)38.71% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (-0.436 -0.44)75.44% (0.43599999999999 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 64.32%
    Club Leon 15.82%
    Draw 19.85%
Cruz AzulDrawClub Leon
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.241 0.24)
3-0 @ 7.39% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.02% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 64.32%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-1 @ 4.39% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 15.82%

Head to Head
May 9, 2025 4.10am
Club Leon
2-3
Cruz Azul
Santos (29'), Moreno (46')
Echeverria (28'), Guardado (90+4')
Frias (51')
Rivero (14'), Montano (19', 41')
Jimenez (36'), Rotondi (90+4'), Rivero (90+7')
Apr 16, 2025 4.05am
Gameweek 16
Cruz Azul
2-1
Club Leon
Romero (84'), Fernandez (90+3')
Rodriguez (11')
Mendoza (58')
Fonseca (43'), Jimenez (89'), Fierro (90+6')
Fonseca (74')
Sep 15, 2024 3.35am
Gameweek 7
Club Leon
1-2
Cruz Azul
Cadiz (6')
Hernandez (25'), Bellon (36')
Faravelli (45+2'), Rotondi (84')
Faravelli (29'), Rodriguez (29'), Piovi (42')
Feb 22, 2024 3am
Gameweek 9
Club Leon
2-3
Cruz Azul
Medina (90+12'), Alvarado (90+26')
Frias (44'), Guerra (90+36')
Rodriguez (29'), Huescas (38'), Uriel (90+15')
Salcedo (90+1'), Zaleta (90+14'), Zaleta (90+14'), Guerrero (90+34')
Oct 29, 2023 12am
Gameweek 14
Cruz Azul
1-0
Club Leon
Sepulveda (16')
Escobar (29'), Rodriguez (75'), Castano (90')

Rubio (50'), Sanchez (70'), Bellon (80')