Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 16, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 0
America

Rivero (59', 59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zendejas (90+1'), Zendejas (90+1')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Club Leon
Monday, May 12 at 2am in Liga MX

Club America

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-0 Pachuca
Sunday, May 11 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Club America had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawClub America
43.79% (0.611 0.61)24.83% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)31.38% (-0.55 -0.55)
Both teams to score 56.97% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (0.065999999999995 0.07)46.08% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (0.062999999999999 0.06)68.38% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.30600000000001 0.31)21.09% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.47600000000001 0.48)53.92% (-0.477 -0.48)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.322 -0.32)27.8% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.414 -0.41)63.39% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 43.79%
    Club America 31.38%
    Draw 24.82%
Cruz AzulDrawClub America
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.38%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 4.15am
Gameweek 15
America
0-0
Cruz Azul
Bogusz (68')
Apr 9, 2025 4.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Cruz Azul
2-1
America
Sepulveda (12', 85')
Piovi (9'), Faravelli (36'), Lira (63'), Sepulveda (86')
Fidalgo (57')
Valdes (29'), Juarez (35'), Caceres (73'), Araujo (88')
Apr 2, 2025 2.15am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
America
0-0
Cruz Azul
Aguirre (86')
Rivero (12'), Ditta (75'), Sanchez (88')
Dec 9, 2024 1am
Cruz Azul
3-4
America
Rivero (68'), Fernandez (80'), Morales Rosas (86')
Faravelli (42'), Rodriguez (66'), Ditta (66'), Morales Rosas (88')
Rivero (90+16')
Zendejas (15'), Sanchez (49'), Juarez (72'), Aguirre (90+4' pen.)
Borja (59'), Aguirre (90+5')
Aguirre (90+8')
Dec 6, 2024 2am
America
0-0
Cruz Azul
Jardine (67')
Piovi (88')