Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 20, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
5 - 0
Mazatlan

Davila (4', 4', 51' pen., 51' pen.), Fidalgo (13', 13', 58', 58'), Aguirre (75', 75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Diaz (24'), Meraz (24'), Diaz (24'), Meraz (24'), Diaz (39'), Diaz (39'), Rodriguez (90+4'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Tijuana
Thursday, April 17 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawMazatlan
68.45% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)19.77% (0.088999999999999 0.09)11.78% (0.237 0.24)
Both teams to score 43.29% (0.444 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (0.193 0.19)49.18% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (0.172 0.17)71.24% (-0.175 -0.17)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.67% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04)13.33% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.81% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)40.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.95% (0.535 0.54)50.05% (-0.535 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.31% (0.369 0.37)84.69% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Club America 68.44%
    Mazatlan 11.78%
    Draw 19.77%
Club AmericaDrawMazatlan
2-0 @ 13.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.1% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 68.44%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 19.77%
0-1 @ 4.62% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.6% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 11.78%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3am
Gameweek 15
Mazatlan
0-5
America

Colula (50')
Martin (26', 45+5'), Aguirre (30'), Rodriguez (36'), Reyes (78')
Feb 22, 2024 3am
Gameweek 9
America
2-2
Mazatlan
Martin (48', 75')
Jardine (0')
Amarilla (25', 52')
Esquivel (64'), Gonzalez (90+3'), Joel Barcenas (90+4')
Oct 7, 2023 4am
Gameweek 12
Mazatlan
1-2
America
Amarilla (39')
Joel Barcenas (20'), Maduena (21'), Flores (24'), Colman (33'), Amarilla (42')
Valdes (54'), Lichnovsky (76')
Lichnovsky (4'), Caceres (49'), Rodriguez (79')
Jan 29, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 4
America
6-0
Mazatlan
Rodriguez (30'), Valdes (32'), Martin (34', 59', 90+3'), Sanchez (40')
Aug 27, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Mazatlan
1-3
America
Valdes (11' og.)
Valdes (39'), Martin (45'), Caceres (49')
rhs 2.0


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