Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Club America had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.