Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 17, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
1 - 0
America

Deossa (75', 75')
Cortizo (30'), Cortizo (30'), Jareth Fimbres Ochoa (54'), Jareth Fimbres Ochoa (54'), Corona (90+1'), Corona (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zendejas (31'), Zendejas (31'), Fidalgo (90+5'), Fidalgo (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 0-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 13 at 4.15am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Club America had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawClub America
47.71% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)23.1% (0.131 0.13)29.19% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 61.77% (-0.442 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.79% (-0.596 -0.6)39.21% (0.597 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45% (-0.628 -0.63)61.54% (0.628 0.63)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (-0.289 -0.29)16.74% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34% (-0.522 -0.52)46.65% (0.52 0.52)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.274 -0.27)25.81% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (-0.371 -0.37)60.76% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 47.71%
    Club America 29.19%
    Draw 23.09%
MonterreyDrawClub America
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 47.71%
1-1 @ 10.45% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.19%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2024 1am
Monterrey
1-1
America
Rojas Echavarria (85')
Arteaga (18')
Sanchez (24')
Zendejas (88')
Dec 13, 2024 2am
America
2-1
Monterrey
Alvarez (39'), Zendejas (49')
Jardine (45+4'), dos Santos (59'), Juarez (81')
Canales (35')
Torres (73')
Oct 28, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 14
America
2-1
Monterrey
Rodriguez (49'), Fidalgo (89')
Zendejas (81')
Cortizo (87')
Medina (62'), Ambriz (77'), Moreno (85')
Feb 4, 2024 3.10am
Gameweek 5
America
1-1
Monterrey
Valdes (24')
Lichnovsky (26')
Canales (40')
Andrada (76'), Gallardo (90+1')
Moreno (90+2')
Oct 29, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 14
Monterrey
0-3
America

Medina (4')
Meza (18')
Rodriguez (2', 21'), Zendejas (33')
dos Santos (11'), Zendejas (30'), Lichnovsky (30')