Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 17, 2025 at 4am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
0 - 2
Tijuana


Fernando Moreno Villegas (12'), Fernando Moreno Villegas (12'), Pizarro (55'), Pizarro (55'), Meraz (84'), Meraz (84'), Merolla (87'), Merolla (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zuniga (53' pen., 53' pen.), Boya (72', 72')
Porozo (44'), Porozo (44'), Arciga (76'), Arciga (76'), Corona (90+6'), Corona (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, April 12 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Friday, April 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
47.08% (0.547 0.55)23.6% (-0.349 -0.35)29.32% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.05% (1.092 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.47% (1.497 1.5)41.52% (-1.501 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.07% (1.498 1.5)63.92% (-1.503 -1.5)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.80199999999999 0.8)17.87% (-0.807 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (1.366 1.37)48.64% (-1.372 -1.37)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (0.61699999999999 0.62)26.88% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.805 0.81)62.2% (-0.81 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 47.08%
    Club Tijuana 29.32%
    Draw 23.59%
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.347 -0.35)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.151 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.123 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.32%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 10
Tijuana
1-0
Mazatlan
Castaneda (6')
Blanco (90+2')

Meraz (89')
Mar 30, 2024 3am
Gameweek 13
Mazatlan
2-0
Tijuana
Amarilla (41'), Bello (90+2')
Maduena (40')

Castaneda (43'), Madrigal (68'), Zuniga (71')
Aug 26, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
1-1
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (25')
Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (52'), Armenta (76')
Amarilla (13')
Merolla (3'), Esquivel (90+3')
Apr 15, 2023 4.05am
Gameweek 15
Mazatlan
1-2
Tijuana
Diaz (25' og.)
Jul 31, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 6
Tijuana
2-0
Mazatlan
Vargas (55' og.), Guzman (73')
Lertora (65'), Lopez (79'), Diaz (80')

Sanchez (16'), Vargas (33'), (82')