Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2025 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 0
Pachuca

Zendejas (16', 16', 28', 28')
Davila (71'), Davila (71'), Calderon (75'), Calderon (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Aceves (18'), Aceves (18'), Idrissi (31'), Idrissi (31'), Pedraza (44'), Pedraza (44'), Gonzalez (61'), Gonzalez (61')
Idrissi (45+2'), Idrissi (45+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 America
Thursday, May 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 America
Thursday, May 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 69.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Club America in this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawPachuca
69.73% (0.502 0.5)18.36% (-0.178 -0.18)11.91% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.42 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.77% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (0.13 0.13)11.1% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.5% (0.27900000000001 0.28)35.51% (-0.274 -0.27)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.24% (-0.549 -0.55)45.76% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.47% (-0.434 -0.43)81.53% (0.438 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Club America 69.72%
    Pachuca 11.91%
    Draw 18.36%
Club AmericaDrawPachuca
2-0 @ 12.27% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 11.16% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.99% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.17% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 69.72%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.36%
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.41% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.91%

Head to Head
May 8, 2025 4.10am
Pachuca
0-0
America
Berlanga (13'), Eduardo (45+3'), Kennedy (79')
Davila (23'), Caceres (41'), Dilrosun (90+5')
Apr 6, 2025 12am
Gameweek 14
Pachuca
1-0
America
Rondon (20')
Aceves (65'), Pedraza (66'), Eduardo (82')
Gonzalez (90+11')

(90+4')
Nov 7, 2024 1am
Gameweek 16
America
2-1
Pachuca
Zendejas (42'), Cervantes (46')
Aguirre (21')
Gonzalez (16')
Deossa (9'), Sanchez (23'), Barreto (45+4')
May 12, 2024 1am
America
1-1
Pachuca
Quinones (90+5')
Valdes (25'), dos Santos (30'), Hernandez (90+10'), Quinones (90+6')
Idrissi (32')
Micolta (40'), Sanchez (90+11'), Cabral (90+10')
May 9, 2024 4.16am
Pachuca
1-1
America
Rondon (21')
Micolta (89')
Martin (45+1')
Valdes (73')