Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Pachuca
51.12% ( 0.07)	22.33% ( 0.01)	26.55% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 62.34% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.48% (

-0.1)

37.52% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.25% (

-0.11)

59.75% (

0.11)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

-0.01)

14.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.72% (

-0.02)

43.28% (

0.02)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.11)

26.74% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-0.15)

62% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 51.12%

Pachuca 26.55%

Draw 22.33%

Monterrey	Draw	Pachuca
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.14% Total : 51.12%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.55%