Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.