Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 19, 2025 at 2.15am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 1
Cruz Azul

Martin (66' pen., 66' pen.), Borja (79', 79')
Borja (80'), Borja (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Faravelli (57', 57')
Ditta (36'), Ditta (36'), Faravelli (45+1'), Faravelli (45+1')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 America
Friday, May 16 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawCruz Azul
55.15% (-0.526 -0.53)24.49% (0.408 0.41)20.36% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-1.003 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (-1.424 -1.42)53.23% (1.427 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (-1.222 -1.22)74.79% (1.223 1.22)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.739 -0.74)19.22% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (-1.236 -1.24)50.91% (1.238 1.24)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.17% (-0.692 -0.69)40.83% (0.69600000000001 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.59% (-0.626 -0.63)77.41% (0.629 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Club America 55.14%
    Cruz Azul 20.36%
    Draw 24.49%
Club AmericaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 12.94% (0.42 0.42)
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 55.14%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.03% (0.258 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head
May 16, 2025 3am
Apr 13, 2025 4.15am
Gameweek 15
America
0-0
Cruz Azul
Bogusz (68')
Apr 9, 2025 4.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Cruz Azul
2-1
America
Sepulveda (12', 85')
Piovi (9'), Faravelli (36'), Lira (63'), Sepulveda (86')
Fidalgo (57')
Valdes (29'), Juarez (35'), Caceres (73'), Araujo (88')
Apr 2, 2025 2.15am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
America
0-0
Cruz Azul
Aguirre (86')
Rivero (12'), Ditta (75'), Sanchez (88')
Dec 9, 2024 1am
Cruz Azul
3-4
America
Rivero (68'), Fernandez (80'), Morales Rosas (86')
Faravelli (42'), Rodriguez (66'), Ditta (66'), Morales Rosas (88')
Rivero (90+16')
Zendejas (15'), Sanchez (49'), Juarez (72'), Aguirre (90+4' pen.)
Borja (59'), Aguirre (90+5')
Aguirre (90+8')
rhs 2.0


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