Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Internacional (Brasil)

Bahia
1 - 0
Internacional

Teixeira (44', 44')
Rezende (30'), Rezende (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Vitao (52'), Vitao (52')
Lucca (83'), Lucca (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Goias 4-6 Bahia
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Internacional

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-2 Gremio
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawInternacional
49.84% (0.499 0.5)25.75% (-0.101 -0.1)24.41% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.071999999999996 0.07)54.12% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.061 0.06)75.54% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.24799999999999 0.25)21.74% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.379 0.38)54.92% (-0.383 -0.38)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63% (-0.316 -0.32)37.36% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (-0.313 -0.31)74.15% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 49.83%
    Internacional 24.41%
    Draw 25.75%
BahiaDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.114 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.092999999999999 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.080000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.41%

How you voted: Bahia vs Internacional

Bahia
50.0%
Draw
31.3%
Internacional
18.8%
16
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Internacional
2-0
Bahia
Cardoso (49'), Wanderson (90+9')
Campanharo (90+7')

Stum (63'), Carlos (68')
Sep 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Internacional
2-0
Bahia
Alberto (39'), Dourado (74')
Heitor (27'), Cuesta (90')

Mugni (19'), Gilberto (37')
Jun 14, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 3
Bahia
0-1
Internacional
Teixeira (30'), Guedes Borges (40'), Eduardo Cavalcanti (45+1')
Heitor (43'), Alberto (48'), Taison (70'), Borges da Silva (80')
Ribeiro (53')
> Preview
Dec 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 27
Bahia
1-2
Internacional
Pablo Ramirez (69')
Juninho (25'), Gregore (44'), Gilberto (78')
Dourado (45+1'), Galhardo (48' pen.)
Galhardo (84')
Sep 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Internacional
2-2
Bahia
Patrick (28'), Galhardo (68' pen.)
Gabriel (69'), Rodinei (82')
Rodrigoinho (20'), Clayson (90+7' pen.)
Paraiba (10'), Ronaldo (58'), Gregore (64')