Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Atlanta United
51.86% ( -0.03)	22.99% ( 0.02)	25.15% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.57% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13% (

-0.09)

41.87% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73% (

-0.09)

64.27% (

0.09)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.78% (

-0.04)

16.22% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.28% (

-0.08)

45.72% (

0.08)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

-0.04)

30.09% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

-0.05)

66.23% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 51.86%

Atlanta United 25.15%

Draw 22.99%

Austin FC	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.86%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 25.15%