Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Oct 5, 2022 at 11pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
3 - 3
Racing

Gutierrez (22'), Alanis (27'), Togni (75')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rojas (19'), Vecchio (45'), Moreno (90+6')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Defensa
Saturday, October 1 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Racing Club

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 4-3 Rosario
Saturday, October 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawRacing Club
31.12% (0.883 0.88)27.68% (-0.337 -0.34)41.19% (-0.55 -0.55)
Both teams to score 47.86% (1.292 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.23% (1.464 1.46)57.77% (-1.469 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49% (1.142 1.14)78.51% (-1.146 -1.15)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (1.431 1.43)33.91% (-1.435 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (1.517 1.52)70.58% (-1.521 -1.52)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (0.39200000000001 0.39)27.58% (-0.397 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (0.502 0.5)63.1% (-0.507 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 31.12%
    Racing Club 41.18%
    Draw 27.68%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 10.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.232 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.47% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.12%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.535 -0.54)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 12.04% (-0.55 -0.55)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.264 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.18%

How you voted: Defensa vs Racing

Defensa y Justicia
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Racing Club
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2022 10.15pm
Defensa
2-2
Racing
Merentiel (41'), Pizzini (52')
Merentiel (45+2'), Frias (90+3')
Cardona (28' pen.), Hauche (39')
Piovi (63')
Oct 29, 2021 11pm
Racing
1-2
Defensa
Copetti (73' pen.)
Rojas (33')
Bou (47'), Paredes (51')
Colombo (73')
Nov 30, 2019 12.10am
Racing
1-1
Defensa
Cvitanich (12' pen.)
Andrada (50')
Aliseda (3')
Rodriguez (41'), Fernandez (59')
Apr 7, 2019 10.30pm
Racing
1-1
Defensa
Cristaldo (53')
Cristaldo (54'), Diaz (92')
Rojas (70')
rhs 2.0


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