Paderborn logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Benteler-Arena
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

SC Paderborn
4 - 3
Dusseldorf

Kinsombi (19'), Hansen (34'), Bilbija (37'), Kostons (82')
Ansah (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Engelhardt (49'), Mustapha (55'), Jastrzembski (90')
Thioune (0'), Thioune (21'), Jastrzembski (90+4')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between SC Paderborn and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
SC PaderbornDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
42.98% (0.346 0.35)23.16% (0.209 0.21)33.86% (-0.556 -0.56)
Both teams to score 63.96% (-0.974 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-1.203 -1.2)37.35% (1.201 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.44% (-1.306 -1.31)59.56% (1.306 1.31)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.34599999999999 -0.35)17.85% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (-0.601 -0.6)48.62% (0.601 0.6)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.854 -0.85)22.13% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-1.303 -1.3)55.51% (1.302 1.3)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 42.98%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 33.86%
    Draw 23.16%
SC PaderbornDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.317 0.32)
2-0 @ 5.87% (0.209 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.226 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.194 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 33.86%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Dusseldorf
1-2
SC Paderborn
De Wijs (57')
Muslija (5'), Conteh (59')
Bilbija (41'), Klefisch (50'), Heuer (61')
Feb 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
SC Paderborn
4-1
Dusseldorf
Pieringer (37'), Heuer (62'), Muslija (68' pen.), Leipertz (81')
Hennings (59' pen.)
Jul 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Dusseldorf
2-1
SC Paderborn
Kownacki (2'), Hennings (30')
Klarer (90+6'), de Wijs (90+6')
Platte (21')
Heuer (37'), Kwasniok (90+5'), Hunemeier (90+6')
Mar 12, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 26
SC Paderborn
1-1
Dusseldorf
Schallenberg (90+3')
Ananou (59'), Schuster (70'), Srbeny (90+6'), Ademi (90+7')
Hartherz (43')
Kother (11'), Prib (33'), Piotrowski (61'), Narey (90+2')
Oct 2, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dusseldorf
2-3
SC Paderborn
Hennings (34', 58' pen.)
Tanaka (20'), Klarer (85'), Hennings (90+4')
Michel (9', 61'), Platte (83')
van der Werff (29')