Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elversberg would win this match.

Result
Nuremberg	Draw	Elversberg
37.42% ( -0.2)	23.98% ( 0.32)	38.6% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 61.55% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.23% (

-1.61)

40.76% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.85% (

-1.66)

63.15% (

1.67)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.81)

21.84% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-1.26)

55.06% (

1.26)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

-0.76)

21.25% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.83% (

-1.19)

54.16% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Nuremberg 37.42%

Elversberg 38.6%

Draw 23.97%

Nuremberg	Draw	Elversberg
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.42%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.6%