Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.