Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.53%) and 1-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.