Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.