Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kaiserslautern would win this match.

Result
Kaiserslautern	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
40.6% ( -0.01)	24.29% ( 0.01)	35.11% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48% (

-0.05)

42.51% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.08% (

-0.05)

64.92% (

0.05)

Kaiserslautern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0.02)

21.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

-0.04)

53.86% (

0.04)

Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

-0.02)

23.85% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

-0.03)

58.04% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Kaiserslautern 40.6%

Fortuna Dusseldorf 35.11%

Draw 24.28%

Kaiserslautern	Draw	Fortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 40.6%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.11%