Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.