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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 12pm UK
Merkur Spiel-Arena

Dusseldorf
3 - 2
Ulm

Bergmann Johannesson (9'), Kownacki (15', 60' pen.)
van Brederode (21'), Bergmann Johannesson (74'), Oberdorf (76'), Haag (89'), Thioune (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Keller (13'), Batista Meier (52')
Roesch (19'), Strompf (27'), Allgeier (90+3'), Higl (90+1')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and SSV Ulm.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Karlsruher 2-3 Dusseldorf
Saturday, January 25 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

SSV Ulm

All competitions
Last Game: Ulm 5-1 Jahn
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSSV Ulm
60.87% (-0.109 -0.11)20.88% (0.062000000000001 0.06)18.25% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (-0.21 -0.21)40.98% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (-0.213 -0.21)63.37% (0.212 0.21)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.98% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)13.02% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.44% (-0.199 -0.2)39.56% (0.197 0.2)
SSV Ulm Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-0.076999999999991 -0.08)36% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)72.78% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 60.87%
    SSV Ulm 18.25%
    Draw 20.88%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSSV Ulm
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.88%
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.25%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Ulm
1-2
Dusseldorf
Higl (41' pen.)
Brandt (20'), Kolbe (53')
Pejcinovic (81'), Schmidt (82')
Iyoha (40'), Sobottka (47'), Niemiec (48'), Zimmermann (85'), Mbamba (90+2')
Oct 30, 2018 5.30pm
Second Round
Ulm
1-5
Dusseldorf
Morina (1')
Ducksch (15', 70'), Hennings (33'), Lukebakio (37', 43')
Morales (20'), Usami (41'), Zimmermann (88')