Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSV Ulm win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SSV Ulm win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSV Ulm would win this match.

Result
SSV Ulm	Draw	Jahn Regensburg
37.71% ( 0.29)	25.69% ( -0.06)	36.6% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22% (

0.25)

48.78% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

0.23)

70.88% (

-0.23)

SSV Ulm Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.69% (

0.27)

25.31% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92% (

0.38)

60.08% (

-0.38)

Jahn Regensburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.02)

25.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.02)

60.93% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

SSV Ulm 37.71%

Jahn Regensburg 36.6%

Draw 25.68%

SSV Ulm	Draw	Jahn Regensburg
1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.71%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.6%