Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.